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December 31, 2008

Gas nears 5-year low

Filed under: economics — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 6:02 pm

As 2009 approaches, plummeting oil prices have sent the price of gasoline to the lowest level in nearly five years, according to a daily survey of gas station credit card swipes.

Gas prices fell for the tenth consecutive day Monday, according to motorist group AAA. Regular unleaded fell to an average of $1.619 a gallon, the lowest since gas hit $1.617 a gallon in January 2004.

Prices are down nearly $2.50, or more than 60%, since hitting a record average high of $4.114 a gallon this July. Prices have plummeted along with the price of crude oil, the main ingredient in gas, as the current economic has crisis intensified and threatened demand for petroleum-based fuels.

Oil has shed more than $100 a barrel since July.

"When you have the price for the raw material drop over $100 a barrel, that’s why you see the price of gasoline drop," said AAA spokesman Troy Green.

In the United States, the world’s largest oil consumer, citizens drove 100 billion fewer miles during the 12-month period between November 2007 and October 2008 compared with the prior year, according to the U.S. Department of Transportation.

And crude demand in China fell 3 payday cash advances.2% in November compared to the prior year due to lower imports and a decline in refinery usage, according to estimates compiled by Reuters.

Gas may continue to sell at record lows heading into 2009 unless economic activity shows some sign of recovery, according to Green.

Usually gas prices rise in the spring as Americans take to the road.

"Will the economy be in such bad shape that we don’t see that typical runup?" posed Green.

State prices: Prices remained above $2 a gallon in only two states Monday: Alaska ($2.518) and Hawaii ($2.332).

Gas was cheapest in Missouri at $1.419 a gallon on average, and sold for less than $1.50 on average in ten states.

Diesel: Meanwhile the price of diesel fuel, which is used in most trucks and commercial vehicles, fell to $2.435 on average Monday.

The AAA figures, compiled by Oil Price Information Services, are state-wide averages based on credit card swipes at up to 100,000 service stations across the nation. 

Source

December 30, 2008

Japan’s GDP May Shrink 6.5% This Quarter, Bank of America Says

Filed under: economics — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 6:26 am

Japan’s economy may shrink at an annual 6.5 percent pace this quarter, Bank of America Corp. said after reports last week showed industrial production and exports posted the biggest declines on record.

Gross domestic product in the three months ending Dec. 31 will decline more than the 2.7 percent previously predicted, said Tomoko Fujii, head of Japan economics and strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo.

Companies from Toyota Motor Corp. to Sony Corp. idled plants and fired workers this quarter as recessions in the U.S. and Europe caused sales of cars and televisions to collapse. The global slump is spreading to developing markets including Asia, the destination for about half of Japanese exports.

“External demand has vanished all of a sudden,” said Fujii. “Almost every industrialized nation is in a recession. Even in China, growth is slowing sharply.”

A 6.5 percent annualized contraction would be the steepest since the first quarter of 1998, when the Asian financial crisis and a sales-tax increase led to a 7.5 percent decline. The world’s second-largest economy shrank in each of the past two quarters, entering the first recession since 2001 no teletrak payday loan.

Factory output plunged 8.1 percent in November from October, the most since comparable data were first kept 55 years ago. Exports slid an unprecedented 26.7 percent from a year earlier.

Consumers at home are unlikely to pick up the slack. Household confidence is at a record low and the government has indicated it doesn’t plan to add to two stimulus packages it has yet to implement.

“Japan needs further economic measures as demand from abroad is totally lacking and will probably decline further in the first quarter,” Fujii said.

Finance Minister Shoichi Nakagawa told the Financial Times that the government has no immediate plans to draft another stimulus, saying its priority is to carry out measures announced since October. The plans, which include spending about 10 trillion yen ($110 billion) on employment and aid for households, still await parliamentary approval.

Source

December 27, 2008

Unemployment insurance isn’t all it’s said to be

Filed under: technology — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 9:14 am

When the Chrysler plant in Newark, Del., shut its doors on Dec. 19, more than 1,000 workers there suddenly joined the ranks of the unemployed.

At least they will be able to get unemployment insurance.

Most jobless workers can’t.

Across the United States, only 37 percent of workers who lose their jobs typically collect unemployment benefits, according to U.S. Labor Department statistics.

They often miss out because they didn’t earn enough while working, or their work history was not continuous enough to make them eligible under state unemployment laws — usually written in the pre-computer era when tracking payrolls was much slower.

"I think it’s a shock to people that the safety net is in such sad shape," said Maurice Emsellem, co-policy director at the National Employment Law Project, a pro-worker organization advocating for the bill. "A lot of people fall through the cracks."

At a time when the recession is a year old and the number of unemployed has risen to 10.3 million, there is a real question about where federal unemployment dollars should go.

Should they be sent directly to states’ strained employment trust funds, enabling states to keep from raising unemployment taxes on already beleaguered employers? Or should they go to expanding eligibility, supporting states whose policies provide help to more people, who in turn will spend their benefits and boost the economy?

Last year, that approach became part of a federal bill — the Unemployment Insurance Modernization Act — passed in the House, but not the Senate, although then-Sen. Barack Obama was a sponsor.

Advocates like Emsellem always try to expand benefits in tough times, said Douglas J. Holmes, president of the National Foundation for Unemployment Compensation and Workers’ Compensation, a Washington business group. It would be better to skip the debate and ship the money to the state trust funds quickly, he said. "Federal money is not designed to dictate benefits state by state."

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Those who fall through the cracks tend to be low-wage, part-time, seasonal or new workers — not like the 1,000 autoworkers laid off in Delaware.

"Although low-wage workers were almost 2

December 23, 2008

Belgian Business Confidence Declines to Record Low

Filed under: online — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 12:38 pm

Belgian business confidence declined to a record low in December as the global financial crisis pushed Europe’s economy deeper into a recession.

The confidence index for Belgium, whose government is reeling from a crisis surrounding the state-organized breakup of Fortis, plunged to minus 31.3 from minus 23.7 in November, the Brussels-based National Bank of Belgium said today in an e-mailed statement. That is the lowest since the data were first collated in 1980. Economists expected a decline to minus 26, according to the median of 19 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.

Business and consumer confidence across Europe is tumbling as the financial turmoil saps demand for exports and unemployment rises. In Belgium, where the prime minister offered to resign over allegations his government tried to interfere with a court ruling on the Fortis breakup, the economy is forecast to shrink in 2009 for the first time in 16 years, the central bank said this month.

Confidence in Europe is “at a record low already. How deep, how low can you go?” Carsten Brzeski, an economist at ING Group in Brussels, said on Bloomberg Television today. “Unfortunately, there is some scope to see a further deterioration.”

European executive and consumer confidence in the economic outlook has dropped to a 15-year low even after interest-rate cuts and government stimulus measures aimed at battling the impact of the financial crisis health insurance. Executive sentiment in Germany, the region’s largest economy, slumped to the lowest level in more than a quarter-century in December, data showed last week.

Slowest Pace

Belgium’s economy grew at the slowest pace in five years in the third quarter and the drop in business confidence indicates the slump will extend into 2009. Gross domestic product will contract 0.2 percent next year after growing 1.4 percent this year, the central bank forecast on Dec. 8, revising a June forecast for 2009 expansion of 1.5 percent.

The Belgian king is working to name a new prime minister by Christmas after Yves Leterme tendered his resignation Dec. 19, with the fate of Fortis, formerly the nation’s largest financial- services firm, hanging in the balance. Leterme yesterday ruled himself out as the leader of a new government.

Leterme’s coalition collapsed after the Justice minister quit because the nation’s highest appeals court didn’t clear him from allegations of interfering with a ruling that blocked the sale of Fortis assets to BNP Paribas SA.

Source

December 21, 2008

Corporate interests come first, court rules

Filed under: legal — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 10:44 am

OTTAWA–In a precedent-setting judgment, the Supreme Court of Canada has written that executives who run a company have a primary duty to do what is best for the corporation, not necessarily its shareholders or its bondholders.

Canada’s top court has ruled against the idea that the interests of shareholders supersede other stakeholders in a corporation, such as investors who have bought bonds.

The clarifications governing corporate law in Canada come from a 76-page written judgment on a decision the court made in June, when it gave the go-ahead on the planned privatization of BCE Inc., owner of Bell Canada.

Both the written reasons – and the original ruling – were unanimous, giving greater clarity to the rights of directors and stakeholders of corporations.

The court noted that, in most cases, the interests of the corporation and its investors and creditors were identical, but as was the case with BCE’s proposed acquisition by a group of investors headed by the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, sometimes conflicts arise.

"Directors may find themselves in a situation where it is impossible to please all stakeholders," the court said.

"In each case, the question is whether, in all the circumstances, the directors acted in the best interests of the corporation, having regard to all relevant considerations, including, but not confined to, the need to treat affected shareholders in a fair manner."

The written ruling will bring no comfort to BCE, or shareholders who stood to benefit from the $42.75 per share sale price. It comes just over a week after the $52 billion leveraged buyout collapsed because of volatile credit markets and the impact of the North American recession.

The written reasons, nevertheless, were called important by Michael Gans, a partner with Blake, Cassels & Graydon LLP, for clarifying points of confusion that arose from an earlier decision the Quebec Court of Appeal cited to rule against the acquisition bad credit pay day loans.

In that case, the Quebec court found BCE’s directors did not give adequate consideration to how the deal would impact bondholders. Bondholders had argued that BCE would be crippled by taking on $34 billion in debt and that the value of their bonds would be diminished.

Gans said the Supreme Court found BCE had considered the effect on bondholders but decided the directors were acting in the best interest of the corporation.

"If you are a director of a Canadian corporation, you can feel good about this judgment, because it gives you significant leeway to do your job as long as you do so in a reasonable and informed manner," he said.

Gans said the top court made clear Canadian law differs from the U.S., where judgments have placed shareholders at the top of the totem pole in a contest of interests.

"There is no principle that one set of interests – for example the interests of shareholders – should prevail over another set of interests," the court wrote.

"Everything depends on the particular situation faced by the directors and whether … they exercised business judgment in a responsible way."

The ruling will likely be used to clarify the relationships of corporate executives, shareholders and bondholders in future mergers, bankruptcies or hostile takeovers when stakeholder interests collide.

In June, the Supreme Court had approved the "plan of arrangement" – dismissing a challenge from bondholders that their interests had not been protected – but given the time constraints issued no reasons for its decision.

That ruling appeared to clear the last hurdle to the world’s largest leveraged buyout … until the size of the debt proved a bridge too far.

Source

December 19, 2008

OPEC to slash oil production in bid to stem price slide

Filed under: online — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 6:41 pm

The OPEC cartel agreed on Wednesday to reduce production by 2.2 million barrels a day, the group’s largest cut ever, in an effort to put a floor on falling oil prices.

It is the third time producers have agreed to reduce their output in three months. Since September, members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries have pledged cuts totaling 4.2 million barrels a day, or nearly 12 percent of their capacity, a record in such a short time.

But oil futures fell more than 8 percent, or $3.54, to settle at $40.06 a barrel, on Wednesday, as the market focused on the dire state of the global economy, and many experts doubted that OPEC would manage to carry out its promises, leaving markets oversupplied in the face of falling demand.

After riding a wave of rising oil prices for nearly a decade, the world’s top exporters are struggling in a weakening global economy, a dizzying slump in oil consumption and a sharp downfall in prices. In a move reminiscent of 1998, when oil fell below $10 a barrel, OPEC has asked outside producers to trim their production but seems to have found few takers.

"We want non-OPEC countries to contribute, and not just benefit from the impact of our cuts," Chakib Khelil, OPEC’s current president, said after the meeting, which was held under tight security in the coastal Algerian town of Oran.

"It’s in their own interest as well as in ours." Khelil said at a chaotic and confused news conference after the meeting.

Russia, which is not part of OPEC, sent a large delegation to Algeria, but analysts saw this as a gesture of political support that carried little more than symbolic value. Russian oil production is going to decline this year anyway because of government policies that have discouraged investments and harmed domestic producers.

The oil collapse has brought down gasoline prices for consumers, but it is devastating to producers, who have based their budgets for next year assuming prices well above $50 a barrel on line pay day loans.

The Saudi oil minister, Ali al-Naimi, set the tone on Tuesday as he arrived in Algeria, when he proposed a large cut to balance the market and trim commercial oil inventories that have been swelling well above their historic levels. Other representatives quickly backed the proposal.

The Saudis had until now been wary of acting too aggressively lest they derail any economic recovery. In June, as prices were still rising, they pledged to flood the market to prevent prices from spiking. But that did not prevent oil from rising above $145 a barrel the following month.

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Now, with the economy seizing up, the Saudis seem to have become much more concerned with the drop in prices, and their ability to prevent a complete collapse. Oil has fallen by $100 a barrel, or 70 percent, since peaking five months ago. King Abdullah recently said he would like to see prices at $75 a barrel, more than 50 percent above their current levels.

The cartel has not faced such a challenging environment since the early 1980s. Oil consumption is set to decline for the first time in 25 years because of the economic crisis.

The new target sets OPEC’s production at 24.85 million barrels a day, starting Jan. 1.

Source

December 18, 2008

BOE Voted 9-0 for Interest-Rate Cut to 2% in December

Filed under: management — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 9:48 am

Bank of England policy makers voted unanimously to cut the benchmark interest rate to 2 percent this month and refrained from a bigger reduction on concern it may prompt about an “excessive” drop in the pound.

The Monetary Policy Committee, led by Governor Mervyn King, voted 9-0 to bring the rate to the lowest since 1951, minutes of the Dec. 4 decision published in London today show. While the economic outlook had worsened, a cut of more than one point may push the currency down too far and “undermine confidence in the economy more widely,” the minutes said.

The pound dropped to a record low against the euro after data showed unemployment rose in November at the fastest pace since 1991. King has signaled that the bank will cut the interest rate further if needed and the U.S. Federal Reserve yesterday lowered its rate close to zero.

“Given the significant probability of undershooting the inflation target in the medium term, a cut of at least 100 basis points was needed,” the minutes said. A larger reduction “might be justified by the scale of the downside risks to inflation.”

The number of people receiving jobless benefits rose 75,700 to 1.07 million, the highest level since July 2000, the Office for National Statistics said today in London. Economists had expected a gain of 44,000, according to the median of 27 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey.

Prime Minister Gordon Brown today pledged 158 million pounds ($245 million) to help people who recently lost their jobs and said the U.K. government will do everything it can to help soften the blow of the recession.

Rate Forecast

The main U.K. lending rate has dropped 3 percentage points since October. The rate will drop another half-point to 1.5 percent at the next decision on Jan. 8, the median of 23 economists’ predictions in a Bloomberg News survey shows.

“It’s pretty clear that the MPC thinks that the general stance of policy remains out of kilter with prospects for the economy,” said Philip Shaw, chief economist at Investec Securities in London. “Rates will fall below 1 percent in the spring. The momentum of sterling means it’s vulnerable.”

The pound dropped to 91 pence per euro for the first time today, and has fallen more than 24 percent this year. The depreciation “should act to support net export growth,” policy makers said in the minutes payday loans for bad credit.

“Financial markets had priced in a cut of 100 basis points,” the minutes said. “There was a risk that going further could cause an excessive fall in the exchange rate.”

Fed Decision

The Fed lowered its rate to 0.25 percent from 1 percent yesterday and said it will use “all available tools” to generate a resumption in growth. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet signaled that further interest-rate reductions may be limited after a cut to 2.5 percent on Dec. 4.

“The monetary authorities have got to be aggressive,” former policy maker Charles Goodhart, now a professor at the London School of Economics and Political Science, said in a Bloomberg Radio interview to be broadcast today. He said King should approach next year with “courage, flexibility and perhaps going a bit too far with the very serious occasion we’re in.”

More to Do

U.K. policy makers said that more needs to be done to unfreeze lending between banks.

“The committee agreed that bank rate was not the right policy instrument to tackle supply constraints in the credit market,” the minutes said. “Further measures to underpin lending growth would be needed, building on the government’s package announced in October to recapitalize and guarantee funding to the banks.”

Brown last month cut sales tax to 15 percent from 17.5 percent as part of a stimulus package for the economy. King said yesterday that will further depress prices after the U.K. inflation rate fell to 4.1 percent in November from 4.5 percent the previous month. The bank aims to keep annual price gains at 2 percent.

The U.K. economy shrank 0.5 percent in the third quarter, and the central bank last month predicted it would contract through most of next year. Policy makers said at the decision that surveys signaled further drops in gross domestic product in the fourth quarter and the first three months of 2009.

“The committee agreed that a significant margin of spare capacity would open up over the next couple of years,” the minutes said. “It was most likely that, without further policy action, inflation would substantially undershoot the target in the medium term.”

Source

December 15, 2008

Tough times for ‘Mom and Pop’ corner stores

Filed under: term — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 9:39 am

The clock with the lavender plastic rim on the back wall of H&H Convenience is an hour and 18 minutes fast. This means nothing to Almaz Nebai. She tells time by the front door.

Starting at 4:30 p.m., it opens every few minutes. That lasts three hours. After that, every 20 minutes or so for another hour, then it tapers off until midnight.

A young Hispanic woman wants her regular small pack of Podium cigarettes, the cheapest at $6 with tax. A man in Docksiders and khakis buys two cans of Arizona tea and stuffs them into a backpack. An Asian woman in heels pulls money from her Louis Vuitton wallet to pay for two packs of DuMaurier. A middle-aged man wants a small Peter Jackson Light with his two cans of Arizona.

"If I get a dollar from the cigarettes, I’m happy," says Nebai.

"With Arizona, there’s not much profit, a few cents, but my customers love it. It’s good for you."

Times are tough all over, but "not much profit," that might as well be the theme song for Ontario’s convenience stores, which have been struggling to get by since the province banned the open display of cigarettes last summer. Between 45 and 65 per cent of corner store profits came from cigarette sales; since such "power walls" were banned that’s been cut by 30 to 50 per cent.

Dave Bryans, president of the Ontario Convenience Stores Association, expects a third of Ontario’s 10,000 convenience stores will be out of business in five years unless the province curbs illegal tobacco sales and starts letting proven, reliable stores sell beer and wine.

But, for now, shopkeepers like Nebai, earning just pennies per hour, make do selling what they can.

Cigarettes, snacks and drinks pay the bills, but not all of them. Since she bought the business in April and moved into the flat at the back, she’s been hunting for deals at Costco and Cash and Carry, clicking through Internet sites to find better suppliers. Rent is $1,600 a month.

A woman at Cash and Carry sent Nebai to Imperial Tobacco, so she gets some brands delivered. The rest she buys every morning, before she opens, whatever she is low on. Podium, made in Caledonia by Lanwest Manufacturing for sale off-reserve, comes from Costco.

With a diploma in accounting from Algonquin College in Ottawa and marketing courses from Seneca, Nebai has plans for this corner north of the Dundas West subway station. There’s a Slovenian deli next door, a Jehovah’s Witness temple down the street. Budget, Price Chopper and Shoppers are nearby. Houses on the streets behind her sell for just under a half-million. The store was Lee-Bee’s West Indian Grocery for years before a couple tried it as a variety store, then gave up and sold to Nebai. She inherited candles, ceramic frogs, hair extensions and shelves of Christmas decorations with the hardware, Pringles, canned spaghetti sauce and kitchen stuff.

Around 11 one morning, she grinds Van Houtte beans for a fresh pot, splits a pack of Hostess cupcakes on two napkins and settles down to talk.

"I loved Ottawa, but when I came here, I loved Toronto, too. It was my first time driving on a highway when I came here from Ottawa."

"I found this place online for a reasonable price. It’s a really good location, the main customer is from the subway, people back and forth in the morning and evening guaranteed approval payday loans. During the day, they come from the neighbourhood. There are a lot of East Bloc people living around here. Everyone is very nice, very nice. It was a struggle at first. I was sometimes shocked that nobody was here, but it’s picking up, slowly."

She and a friend left Asmara, the once-lovely Italianate capital of Eritrea, in 1985, when the 30-year civil war with Ethiopia was at its most brutal, walking for 11 days into Sudan. She was 25. "It was a terrible time. We were hiding from Ethiopian soldiers and Eritrean fighters. But the land around us as we walked was beautiful and we made a promise, my friend and I, that we would come back. She went to Sweden. She called me a few years ago to ask, `Remember the promise?’ But she is dead now, of cancer."

There’s not much room for sentimentality. A woman in a hijab and long skirt with no time to waste floats in looking for a toy for her son, who is 4 today. She leaves with Spider-Man and a long-distance calling card.

"I am so happy here," Nebai says. "There is hope for the future. I’m always thinking, planning the strategy."

She’s been asking the Ontario Lottery Corporation for a terminal and might just get one this month. If she gets approved and there is a machine available, the security deposit runs from $2,000 to up to $6,000 for a full-scale Lotto Centre.

A key-cutting service, cellphone cards, movie rentals, maybe stamps although a store not far away already sells them and Canada Post picks its spots based on postal code. If she buys 60 DVD movies, a company will throw in another 1,000 but she needs a $100 Film Exchange Retail Licence to rent them. Her cut from the ATM machine is half the $1.50 service fee; if she buys it for $2,500, her cut is 85 per cent.

"I tried bread but I had to eat it myself. Perishables are a waste of time – people go to Price Chopper."

She tours the shelves, rating each item. "Bathroom goods are well-demanded. The house materials are really working well."

She brought a Zippo lighter display cabinet up from the basement and added cigarette cases to the stock because customers asked for them. If she gets the lottery machine, if she gets the cell phone card business (a $1,500 down payment, then $14 a month), if she can buy the ATM machine, if she can rent DVDs, if she builds up enough loyal customers, she might make it.

The store opens at 9 a.m., closes at midnight. "Sometimes, it can be like a prison." Then she smiles. "I didn’t marry, I tried to. Now I like not answering to someone."

Her sister and two brothers, one with a master’s in engineering and another with a degree in economics, wanted her to move to Germany to reunite the family, but she prefers Canada. After a refugee camp in Sudan, she had gone to England for surgery on her leg, gnarled with polio. A United Church in Ottawa sponsored her as a refugee.

"It is amazing. I never thought that I would live in Canada. We studied it in geography in school – lots of snow! – and now I’ve become a Canadian. I feel at home here. Everyone is from far away."

Source

December 12, 2008

Sony to cut 8,000 jobs, shut plants

Filed under: marketing, money — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 2:09 pm

TOKYO– Sony Corp. is slashing 4 per cent of its worldwide workforce, reining in spending and shutting plants as it tries to ride out a looming worldwide recession that is battering Japan’s export-reliant manufacturers.

Tokyo-based Sony, which is cutting 8,000 of its 185,000 jobs, said yesterday it will shut five or six plants – about 10 per cent of its 57 factories.

Sony also plans to reduce its electronics investments by about one-third by the end of March 2010, although it did not give specific numbers. Sony will also cut at least 8,000 temporary jobs.

The job cuts are the most drastic here since the U compare car insurance prices.S. credit crunch hit over the summer.

Sony has been recovering from internal problems in recent years under cost-cutting reforms led by chief executive Howard Stringer.

Sony said the moves will deliver $1 billion (U.S.) in savings a year by March 2010.

As well, Sony will trim spending in semiconductors and will outsource output planned for image sensors for mobile phones.

Associated Press

Source

December 9, 2008

Canada to meet G7 crisis commitments: Flaherty

Filed under: news — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 5:51 pm

Federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said Monday that no specific action by any one government can make the global economic crisis disappear but that Canada will continue to do its part.

Flaherty, who spoke to reporters after an event in Toronto, said Canada's government will continue to fulfill its obligations to stimulate its economy under an agreement by the Group of Seven most industrialized nations to try to reinvigorate the world economy.

He also said he has received input from the opposition Bloc Québécois about the budget he is preparing, but has not received proposals from the Liberals or the New Democratic Party, the two other opposition parties fast pay day loans. During a political crisis last week that threatened to bring down the Conservative government, the government asked the opposition for ideas on stimulating the economy.

The three opposition parties recently signed a coalition agreement that has the potential to topple the Conservatives from power.

But the government managed to win a rare suspension of Parliament last week and avoided being ousted by the coalition, which said the government's economic plan is inadequate.

Flaherty is scheduled to deliver a budget on Jan. 27.

Source

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