Finance topics

May 8, 2010

The next ‘hot’ careers

Filed under: technology — Tags: , — Gogo @ 3:12 am

Dear Annie: I’m a sophomore in college, majoring in business. Even though I still have two more years of school ahead of me, I’m trying to figure out what kinds of jobs are likely to be available when I graduate. For one thing, having a handle on that would help me choose a minor. I’ll also be graduating with loans to pay off, so I’ll need to start working right away.

I was interested in your column about green jobs ("Getting a green job isn’t so easy") because it mentioned some creative ways to find opportunities. Do you have any suggestions about identifying other areas (aside from green jobs), where companies might be hiring a few years from now? – Early Bird

Dear Early: Interesting question! I put it to Eileen Habelow, Ph.D., senior VP of organizational development with Randstad, a global staffing and human resources consulting firm. Habelow has made a specialty of helping new college grads scope out their career options. In her previous job, as regional vice president for New England, "I was surrounded by sharp new grads," she says. "I wanted them to be outrageously successful in their first jobs, so I got very interested in figuring out where great opportunities are likely to turn up."

A good place to start: The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Occupational Outlook Handbook. The current edition offers a wealth of statistical projections up to the year 2018, including recession-adjusted estimates of employment growth in dozens of industries and hundreds of occupations. Right now, the BLS is expecting the greatest amount of job creation — about 4 million jobs, or more than one quarter of all new jobs over the next 8 years — in the health care industry.

Which brings us to Habelow’s first tip: Watch the news closely, with an eye toward what it implies for the job market. For instance, even before health care reform was passed into law, health care was a promising field because of the aging of the U.S. population. Now, "the move toward universal health care — adding 30 to 40 million people to the ranks of the insured — will give rise to even more jobs than we thought, in government and elsewhere," she says.

But, you may be thinking, you’re majoring in business, not nursing, pre-med, or, say, physical therapy. That’s just fine. "Don’t forget that ‘health care’ includes finance, human resources, law, technology, and every other discipline that other businesses need," Habelow points out. "When a health care-related company grows, the whole company grows, not just the part that provides direct care to patients. There is a ratio of support staff to medical staff, so the more care is provided, the more of those other kinds of jobs will become available."

Talkback: What do you think the next hot jobs will be?Leave your comments at the bottom of this story.

Although health care is making headlines these days, you can watch the news for other signs of job growth as well. For example, the recession has tightened credit for consumers and small businesses, but in normal times, a drop in interest rates often spurs an uptick in borrowing, so banks need more loan officers and loan processors.

Obviously, any industry or company that’s experiencing a growth spurt is likely to be hiring but, more surprisingly, so are companies that are laying people off. "People often hesitate to apply at companies that have announced layoffs," says Habelow, "but we’ve found that about 50% of them will have openings they’re trying to fill at the same time."

"One advantage to applying at a company where layoffs are occurring is that you will face less competition because others will be reluctant to apply there," she adds.

Two more thoughts: First, you’ll have a great head start on launching your career if you have a specific goal in mind for your first job. "Think about the way you picked your college — urban versus rural, what part of the country, big versus small, and all the other criteria you looked at — and do the same for your job hunt," Habelow suggests. "If you know what you want, you can narrow it down to something like, ‘I want to find a finance job at a pharmaceutical company in the Northeast.’ Then thoroughly research all the possibilities that fit that description, and you’ll have a solid foundation for your job hunt."

And second, keep in mind that all employers want new hires with these four skills: strong communications (including being able to write clearly and use correct grammar), great interpersonal and teamwork abilities, enthusiasm, and a willingness to work hard.

"While you’re researching job openings, make sure you stand out in those four areas," says Habelow. "Combat the Gen Y stereotype. An employer can teach you the technical aspects of a job, but they can’t give you those essential traits. You have to bring them with you."

Talkback: Do you wish you’d studied something else in college that would have prepared you for a more successful career? Tell us on Facebook, below. 

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April 4, 2010

Australian coal producer rejects $3 billion Peabody offer

Filed under: economics — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 1:24 pm

Peabody Energy Corp. is taking its bid for Macarthur Coal Ltd. to the company’s major shareholders after the Australian coal producer’s board rejected a $3 billion cash takeover bid.

"Peabody’s proposal is highly conditional and does not fully value Macarthur and its significant growth prospects," Macarthur Chairman Keith DeLacy said Wednesday in a statement.

Peabody, the world’s largest private-sector coal company, has rapidly expanded operations in Australia since buying its first mine there six years ago. Last year, the company said it plans to double coal exports from the country by 2014.

The company on Wednesday said it is "disappointed" with the initial rejection and believes Macarthur’s assets and growth prospects are a good fit with its existing Australian operations.

Brisbane-based Macarthur produced about 4.6 million tons of so-called metallurgical coal last year from two Queensland mines and is in the midst of an expansion. The company, which owns 145 million tons of reserves, supplies coal to steel mills in Asia, Europe and Brazil.

Peabody’s offer values Macarthur at about $680 per ton of production and $21 per ton of reserves, according to Jefferies & Co. analyst Michael Dudas.

"We believe the initial bid is the first step in a long, complex negotiating process involving numerous players in the coal and steel industry," Dudas said in a research note.

Peabody said it is currently in discussions with Macarthur’s three largest shareholders, who collectively own 47 percent of the company.

Peabody said its offer is conditional on Macarthur calling off an earlier agreement to purchase rival Gloucester Coal Ltd., which is 88-percent owned by Asian commodities firm Noble Group Ltd.

Macarthur is holding a meeting on April 12 for shareholders to vote on whether to issue shares to complete the Gloucester deal.

Peabody said its bid is 34 percent higher than the price of Macarthur shares to be issued to Noble as part of the Gloucester agreement. It is also higher than a February valuation by an independent expert hired by Macarthur, Peabody said.

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March 28, 2010

Stocks slip on Portugal credit woes

Filed under: money — Tags: , — Gogo @ 1:12 am

Stocks closed lower Wednesday as the dollar strengthened on fears tied to the growing fiscal crisis in Europe and a dour report on U.S. sales of new homes raised concerns about the economic recovery.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) fell 53 points, or 0.5%. The S&P 500 index (SPX) slid 6 points, or 0.5%. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) dropped 16 points, or 0.7%. All three indexes remain near the highest levels since late September 2008.

Stocks opened lower after ratings agency Fitch cut Portugal’s sovereign credit rating one notch, reigniting concerns that the debt problems of struggling European economies like Greece are spreading and could hurt stronger members of the European Union.

The downgrade battered the euro, which fell to a 10-month low versus the dollar. The stronger greenback weighed on commodity prices, driving oil down 1.7%.

Stocks were also pressured by weaker-than-expected reports on new-home sales and durable goods orders. But analysts said the data are consistent with an economic recovery, albeit an uneven one.

Despite Wednesday’s retreat, stocks have been generally moving higher over the last several weeks. On Tuesday, all three major indexes closed at new 18-month highs as investors cheered a better-than-expected report on home resales.

"We had a nice run-up since the beginning of the week," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Avalon Partners. "Considering the negative news out of Europe, the strength of the dollar and the decline in commodity prices, the market is not doing too bad."

Cardillo said investors were also focused on the bond market, where a lackluster auction of 5-year Treasury notes raised concerns about budget deficits and fiscal policies in the United States. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note jumped to 3.83% from 3.68% as prices sank.

Meanwhile, investors are bracing for testimony Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is due to deliver Thursday before the House committee on financial services.

Bernanke is expected to discuss how the central bank plans to eventually unwind some of its emergency liquidity facilities as the economy continues to show signs of a gradual recovery.

"Volatility could be expected during his testimony as traders hang on every word," said Dan Cook, senior market analyst at IG Markets.

In addition, investors will take in quarterly results Thursday from Best Buy (BBY, Fortune 500) and ConAgra (CAG, Fortune 500) before the opening bell. Oracle (ORCL, Fortune 500) reports after the market closes.

Portugal: Fitch cut Portugal’s credit rating one notch to "AA minus" from "AA," citing the country’s growing budget deficit and debt load.

"A sizeable fiscal shock against a backdrop of relative macroeconomic and structural weaknesses has reduced Portugal’s creditworthiness," said Douglas Greenwich, associate director in Fitch’s sovereign team.

Fitch said the outlook for Portugal is negative, given the country’s fiscal challenges and the still struggling global economy.

The downgrade came one day before EU policy makers are due to meet in Brussels to discuss economic concerns at the Spring European Council.

Economy: Sales of new homes unexpectedly fell 2 cash advance no faxing.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 308,000 units. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected a jump to a 315,000 annualized unit rate from a 305,000 annualized unit rate in January.

The report came one day after an industry group said sales of existing homes fell in February, but the decline was less severe than expected.

Separately, the Commerce Department released its report on durable goods orders, showing a gain of 0.5% in February, which was the third consecutive increase and in line with economists’ expectations.

Durable goods excluding autos rose 0.9%, after falling 1% in January. Economists expected an increase of 0.3%.

Company news: Shares of Starbucks (SBUX, Fortune 500) rose after the coffeehouse chain announced plans to pay an initial dividend of 10 cents per share on April 23 to investors on record when the market closes April 7.

Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) announced plans to begin reducing the loan balances of certain distressed homeowners with subprime or adjustable rate mortgages to make their payments more affordable. Shares of the company gained 2.6%.

General Mills reported adjusted earnings per share of 97 cents on net sales of $3.6 billion in its fiscal third quarter. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial had expected earnings per share of 85 cents and sales of $3.5 billion. Despite the strong results, shares of General Mills (GIS, Fortune 500) fell nearly 2%.

Lennar (LEN) gained 3.7% after the homebuilder reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss of 4 cents per share, versus a loss of 89 cents a year ago. The company said it sees signs the U.S. housing market is moving towards stabilization.

World markets: European stocks got a strong start but ended mixed after Portugal’s credit rating was cut. Britain’s FTSE 100 and France’s CAC 40 were lower, while Germany’s DAX was gained nearly 0.2%.

In Asia, stocks ended higher. In Japan, Tokyo’s Nikkei index gained 0.4%, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong added 0.1%

The dollar and commodities: The dollar surged against the euro, pound and yen. At one point, the U.S. currency rose to $1.35 against the euro, marking the highest level since May 2009.

Crude oil for May delivery slipped $1.30 to settle at $80.61 a barrel as the dollar soared and the government’s weekly oil inventory report showed a larger than expected build in supplies.

The price of gold for April delivery fell $14.90 an ounce to $1,088.80.

Treasurys: The price of the benchmark 10-year note fell, pushing its yield up to 3.83%. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Prices fell after an auction of $42 billion worth of 5-year notes received lukewarm demand. The government is on track to sell $118 billion worth of notes this week.

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March 16, 2010

China probes HP handling of consumer complaints

Filed under: technology — Tags: , — Gogo @ 8:06 pm

Consumer complaints about how Hewlett-Packard Co. is treating flaws in some of its personal computers are reportedly being looked into by China's product-quality agency.

The Wall Street Journal reported that the investigation by China's General Administration of Quality Supervision appears to be a response to a complaint by a group of Chinese consumers who claim HP discriminated against them. They say HP is not offering them the same warranty extension given to customers in the U.S. in its handling of a problem with faulty Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) graphics components in some of its laptop PCs.

The Chinese consumers have requested compensation, a public apology by HP and a recall of the affected computers.

HP has denied the consumers' claims, blaming them on confusion over the terms of an enhanced service program offered to customers world-wide whose warranties only lasted one year. HP (NYSE:HPQ) said it doesn't plan a recall of the affected PCs in China.

The Journal reported that only about 170 people in China complained about the flaws, a very small percentage of the total number of computers it has sold in the county.

Source

March 4, 2010

UT Regents elect board chair-WO-man

Filed under: online — Tags: , — Gogo @ 8:30 pm

Health industry executive and attorney Colleen McHugh was chosen Wednesday to succeed five-year University of Texas System Board of Regents Chairman James R. Huffines.

McHugh, who is the first female to fill the top regents post, was elected during the group's regular board meeting. Her predecessor was first elected in June 2004 and stayed on until November 2007. He was elected again in April last year.

Gov. Rick Perry named McHugh Texas Public Safety Commission chairman in 2001. She was the first female elected to that commission in 1998. She was added to the regents board in 2005.

Previously, McHugh served as the regents' vice chairman, health affairs committee chair and academic affairs committee member. She worked as the athletics liaison and on the type 2 diabetes risk assessment program advisory committee free credit scores. She also chaired the task force on UTMB clinical operations.

McHugh served as the State Bar of Texas president from 1996-1997. She is currently vice president of compliance, risk management and privacy officer for the CHRISTUS Spohn Health System. She is board certified in labor and employment law and is a member of the highly regarded American Law Institute.

McHugh received her undergraduate degree from Southern Methodist University and her law degree from St. Mary's University School of Law.

Huffines will continue as a board member. Member Paul Foster and Janiece Longoria were named vice chairmans of the board.

Source

February 26, 2010

Freddie: Bigger loss, no new bailout

Filed under: online — Tags: , — Gogo @ 12:33 am

Government-owned mortgage financing firm Freddie Mac reported a larger loss in the fourth quarter, but the company did not need to draw down any additional tax dollars in the period.

The company, which along with rival Fannie Mae (FNM, Fortune 500) was put into a conservatorship under government control in September 2008, lost $6.5 billion in the quarter, up from a loss of $5.4 billion in the third quarter.

Including $1.3 billion in preferred dividend payments to the federal government, the loss came to $7.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2009. But that’s still much better than the $23.9 billion it lost in the year-earlier period.

The company lost $21.6 billion for the year, an improvement from 2008 losses of $50.1 billion.

Freddie charged off $2.4 billion in bad loans during the quarter, nearly triple the $863 million from a year earlier. That brought full-year charge-offs to $7.6 billion in 2009.

And the worst is clearly not behind it, as Freddie raised its reserves for loan losses to $33.9 billion at the end of the quarter, up from $30.6 billion three months earlier.

About 3.9% of its $1.9 trillion in loans are now delinquent, well below the national average for late payments. But Freddie’s delinquency rate has been rising steadily for the past two years.

Freddie (FRE, Fortune 500) said it ended the quarter with a positive net worth of $4.4 billion, which means that for the third straight quarter it did not need another injection of government cash make quick cash. Net worth compares a company’s assets to the value of its liabilities.

A year ago Freddie needed $30.8 billion in federal cash as mounting foreclosures on the mortgages Freddie owns or guarantees hurt the company’s finances. Since the start of the conservatorship, Freddie has received $50.7 billion in taxpayer dollars, while Fannie has received $60.9 billion.

That injection of tax money to keep the companies afloat gave the Treasury Department an 80% stake in both companies. Fannie and Freddie both pay dividends to Treasury. Freddie has paid $4.2 billion so far.

But despite those dividends, future injections of taxpayer dollars are likely. At the end of the fourth quarter, Treasury lifted a $100 billion limit on the amount of money it could pour into each of the firms.

Fannie and Freddie are the primary source of mortgage funding in the nation. They bundle home loans that conform to certain standards into securities, attach a guarantee that they will be paid, and sell them to investors. The process gets money back to the banks and other lenders that originate the loans.

Freddie, which has about $1.9 trillion in its loan portfolio, purchased or guaranteed approximately one out of every four U.S. home loans originated during 2009. 

Source

January 27, 2010

White House, Top Republican Say Bernanke to Keep Job

Filed under: management — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 11:09 pm

Ben S. Bernanke will keep his job as Federal Reserve chairman, the White House and the Senate’s senior Republican predicted two days after wavering support among some Democrats helped drive stock prices lower.

President Barack Obama “is very confident that the chairman will be confirmed,” David Axelrod, a senior White House adviser, said on CNN’s “State of the Union” program. Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that Bernanke will have “bipartisan support in the Senate” even as a number of his party are opposed.

The assurances followed declarations of support for Bernanke from the top two Democrats in the Senate, Nevada’s Harry Reid and Richard Durbin of Illinois, who earlier said they were undecided. John McCain, the Republican 2008 presidential nominee, and John Cornyn, who runs the party’s senate campaign committee this year, are against him. Online traders yesterday raised the odds of approval to 92 percent from as low as 65 percent on Jan. 22.

“We’ve dodged the bullet on this one,” said Greg Valliere, chief policy strategist at Potomac Research Group in Washington. “People were aghast by what happened in the markets on Friday, and do they really want to get angry letters from constituents who have lost money in the stock market because of the Bernanke vote?”

Stocks React

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 2.2 percent on Jan. 22 to 1,091.76, erasing gains so far in 2010, as Reid and Durbin withheld their support for Bernanke and two Senate Democrats, Barbara Boxer of California and Russ Feingold of Wisconsin, said they would join Republicans already against him. Both Boxer and Feingold are up for election this year. The S&P 500 was up 0.3 percent to 1,094.93 at 11:46 a.m. today in New York.

The Democratic Party’s loss of a Senate seat in Massachusetts last week has added to pressure on those senators facing re-election at a time of rising voter anger over the economy. Bernanke’s critics have blamed the Fed for lax regulation of banks before the credit crisis and questioned its involvement in the $182 billion bailout of New York-based insurer American International Group Inc.

“It is difficult for governors or chairmen to discharge responsibility under a cloud of uncertainty regarding the security of tenure,” Philippine central bank Deputy Governor Diwa Guinigundo said in an interview in Manila today when asked about Bernanke’s struggle to get confirmed. “It’s best the appointment of a central bank governor is depoliticized.”

Impact on Regulation

While Bernanke’s chances of winning a second term improved, comments by lawmakers supporting him suggest that the 56-year- old former Princeton University economist will be under greater scrutiny on bank regulation and consumer protection.

Durbin, the Senate majority whip, said in a Jan. 23 statement that he will “continue to demand that the Federal Reserve make a commitment to transparency and accountability in its policies.”

“I will make it clear that if the Federal Reserve refuses to exercise its authority to demand bank reform and protect America’s consumers, I will join with members of Congress to push for new laws that achieve those goals,” he said. Bernanke is set to meet with Durbin at 4:15 p.m. today, said Max Gleischman, a Durbin spokesman.

Reid plans a Senate vote on Bernanke’s confirmation this week, said Jim Manley, a spokesman. His term expires Jan no fax payday loan. 31.

Senate Rules

Bernanke’s supporters need 60 votes to limit debate and clear the way for a final vote. Under Senate rules, a motion to limit debate would set up a procedural vote after two legislative days to curtail additional debate to 30 hours.

McConnell indicated enough Republicans will join Democrats in backing the central banker.

“I would anticipate he will be confirmed,” the Kentucky Republican said on NBC. McConnell declined to say how he would vote.

“We believe he will be confirmed,” White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said on “Fox News Sunday.”

White House senior adviser Valerie Jarrett said on NBC that Obama received assurances from Reid over the weekend that Bernanke will be confirmed, after support among Democrats ebbed in the wake of an upset victory by Republican Scott Brown in the Jan. 19 Massachusetts special election. Axelrod called Bernanke “a steady hand in the crisis.”

McCain’s Vote

Arizona’s McCain, who lost to Obama in 2008, said he is leaning toward voting against Bernanke, while being “worried” about the impact from rejecting the Fed chief.

“The fact is that Chairman Bernanke was in charge when we hit the iceberg,” McCain said on CBS’s “Face the Nation.” “His policies were partially responsible for the meltdown that we experienced, and I think he should be held accountable.”

Cornyn, of Texas, said on “Fox News Sunday” he would vote against Bernanke, while Republican Orrin Hatch of Utah and Democrat Robert Menendez of New Jersey told CNN they would support the Fed chief, a Republican first appointed by President George W. Bush four years ago.

Bernanke may get as many as 70 Senate votes, Valliere said. “After Massachusetts, nothing’s certain, but I think it’s very likely that he’ll win,” Valliere said.

While Bernanke’s support among senators is running 2 to 1 in his favor, about half have yet to indicate how they will vote. Of senators who released statements or were contacted by Bloomberg News over the past three days, 32 said they would vote for Bernanke or were leaning in his favor, while 16 were opposed or leaning against him. The rest were undecided or didn’t respond to requests for comment.

Democrats Dianne Feinstein of California and Daniel Inouye of Hawaii announced their support for Bernanke today.

Dodd, Gregg

Christopher Dodd, the Connecticut Democrat who chairs the banking committee, and Judd Gregg of New Hampshire, the top Republican on the budget committee, said they are confident that Bernanke will be confirmed.

“I have some misgivings about Fed policy and the economic policy, but this man has guided us through a crisis,” Durbin said yesterday on CBS.

Richard Shelby, the senior Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, yesterday dismissed Dodd’s assertion on Jan. 22 that rejecting Bernanke risked sending the “worst signal to the markets” and triggering an economic “tailspin.”

Any decline in financial markets wouldn’t “last very long,” Shelby, of Alabama, said on CNN. Bernanke will see “a lot of tough votes against him,” and that would be a “strong message,” said Shelby, who reiterated his opposition to the Fed chief.

Source

January 25, 2010

Samsung deal upsets homegrown competitors

Filed under: money — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 8:03 am

Jeff Andrews tried to remain diplomatic when asked about the McGuinty government’s $7 billion green-energy deal with South Korean titan Samsung Group.

The president of Pro-Power and Energy Ltd. in Port Hope could see, on the surface, the attraction of the deal. Samsung C&T and its consortium partner, Korean Electric Power Corp., have assured four manufacturing facilities will be established between 2013 and 2015. Two will make wind towers and wind blades, the other two will assemble solar modules and inverters.

Samsung has also committed to developing 2,000 megawatts of wind power and 500 megawatts of solar power across parts of Ontario. Together, these manufacturing and power-development initiatives are expected to create 16,000 jobs over six years, welcome news during tough economic times, Premier Dalton McGuinty said Thursday.

But there’s a catch. Samsung will get 4 per cent more for the wind and solar power it produces, and it will get priority access to Ontario transmission capacity that’s in short supply. Many energy developers who have been waiting patiently for access to transmission will now have to wait a little longer.

Why, asked Andrews, is the Ontario government giving a deep-pocketed, foreign conglomerate special treatment that’s not being extended to local ventures struggling to create homegrown manufacturing and green energy?

"It’s great for Samsung, but Samsung doesn’t need it as much as we need it," he said.

Pro-Power, in partnership with CWind Inc. of Owen Sound, has been busy putting together its own consortium that aims to build wind turbine nacelles, blades and towers in Ontario. It signed a 10-year contract with auto-parts manufacturer Linamar Corp. to make the nacelles, and has established two subsidiaries, WindPro and WindBlade, to make turbine towers and blades.

This all-Ontario consortium has been attracting investors and wind developers with thousands of megawatts of projects in the pipeline are placing orders fast cash loans. Linamar is on course to make 350 nacelles a year in 2012, well before Samsung will be up and running.

"We have been working hard, digging deep and trying to get the government’s support," said Andrews. "We’ve had some response, but not as much as we think we should get. We’ve proven beyond doubt that we’re serious about it. The Ontario government needs to step up and give support to the people who have really proven they’re committed."

The Green Energy Act, passed last year, was supposed to create a level playing field, he added. Along with the feed-in-tariff program launched in September, Pro-Power and hundreds of other manufacturers and developers have been working on the assumption all are playing by the same rules.

Andrews is clearly frustrated. "We are the Ontario story. I know that sounds cocky, but we are. Our technology was developed and proven here in Ontario by Ontario residents. The patents were established here in Ontario."

McGuinty justified the deal Thursday as a way to accelerate Ontario’s green economy, by drawing an "anchor tenant" that can stimulate jobs and exports much more quickly. The alternative, he said, is to "hope" our industry of smaller players will grow over time while the province misses out on export opportunities to a U.S. green-energy market ready to explode.

Ian MacLellan, vice-chairman of solar-cell manufacturer Arise Technologies Corp. in Waterloo, said that kind of thinking doesn’t work in the long run. "If you took that approach looking back 30 years to Silicon Valley, they would have funded Xerox and not talked to Steve Jobs."

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January 12, 2010

Retailers see modest holiday gains

Filed under: online — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 5:36 am

Last-minute holiday shoppers brought relief to retailers, handing them modest sales gains for the season and prompting several to raise their fourth-quarter profit outlooks.

The improved picture comes because retailers never had to resort to drastic price-cutting after keeping inventories lean. Still, retailers may be facing chilly months as consumer spending is expected to remain muted amid high unemployment and tight credit.

"The holiday season was decent but nothing you can get excited about. And it was saved by a last-minute surge," said Ken Perkins, president of research firm RetailMetrics. "Santa didn’t deliver coal, but he certainly didn’t deliver caviar."

According to Thomson Reuters’ preliminary findings, eight retailers beat expectations, one met, and four missed. Sales figures are based on sales at stores open at least a year and are considered a key indicator of a retailer’s health.

Retailers’ decent performance in December, helped by a last-minute spending spree in the days before Christmas, comes after a disappointing November fast payday loans.

Retailers managed to avoid another Christmas catastrophe because they had a year to plan for a new consumer mindset. They headed into the season with sharply lower inventories and more practical merchandise that resonated with shoppers who stuck to shopping lists and researched deals online before they bought. Shoppers were in malls buying, but they were choosy. They picked up discounted flat-panel TVs, computers and smart phones, but often stayed away from clothing unless it was practical.

Stores were on edge until near Christmas because consumers delayed buying more than last year, either because they were shut in by winter snowstorms or were holding out for better deals. But many stores kept to planned discounts. That’s different from last year, when stores started liquidating merchandise in November because of the escalating financial crisis.

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December 29, 2009

Disney hoping for Next Big Thing: Will it be Ant-Man?

Filed under: economics — Tags: , , — Gogo @ 11:00 pm

Moviegoers have shown a willingness to be entangled by Spider-Man’s web over and over again. Now, as Disney prepares to buy the comic book powerhouse Marvel, it faces the question of whether fans will also get attached to characters as obscure as Ant-Man and Iron Fist.

The Walt Disney Co. is making a $4.2 billion bet that they will as it nears completion of its acquisition of Marvel Entertainment Inc. this week. The cash-and-stock deal brings those characters and thousands of others to an entertainment empire that already includes Mickey Mouse, Kermit the Frog and Hannah Montana.

Disney’s biggest challenge will be to get enough people enthused about second-string superheroes to justify the price — about $1.2 billion, or 40 percent more than what Marvel’s stock was worth when the deal was announced Aug. 31.

The high price means Disney will have to find new ways to earn revenue from Marvel — perhaps by bringing Marvel-licensed toys to more store shelves around the world, and by digging deep into its comic vault for potential new blockbusters.

Although Disney is constrained by the fact that big-name Marvel superheroes such as Spider-Man are already locked up in long-term deals with rival movie studios, Disney has had a history of successfully turning unknown talent such as Miley Cyrus, the actress behind "Hannah Montana," into multibillion-dollar enterprises.

"With Marvel, it’s not just about ‘Iron Man’ and ‘Hulk,’" Caris & Co. analyst David Miller said. "It’s all about the other 5,000 characters that you and I don’t even know about yet."

Disney shares are already being helped, having risen more than 20 percent since the deal was announced, partly on the hope for new character development and better use of Marvel heroes in movies, stores and theme parks.

Marvel shareholders are expected to give final approval to the offer on Thursday.

The deal has already spawned a bout of speculation in the comic book world about who will be the Next Big Thing.

Possibilities include classics such as Ant-Man, the alter-ego of mad scientist Dr. Henry Pym, and Dr. Strange, the mystical go-to guy whenever there’s an extradimensional threat. Both are connected to The Avengers line of characters that Marvel had started developing for the big screen long before Disney made the deal; Iron Man and the Hulk are among the Avengers that Marvel already has tapped.

There are about 5,000 more characters, including obscure ones such as martial arts master Iron Fist from the 1970s and up-and-coming ones such as the Runaways, a street-savvy pack of teenagers who have become a recent Marvel comic-book hit.

Whoever is the next star, Marvel has a track record of success: Its "Iron Man" movie took in $572 million at box offices worldwide despite the character once being a B-lister in the pantheon of superheroes.

"They picked the right one and they did it the right way," said Gareb Shamus, whose company Wizard Entertainment Group runs several of the Comic-Con fan conventions around the nation. "When you do that, you’ve got a franchise that could last forever."

Through the deal, Marvel gains the ability to quickly reach more markets worldwide. Disney is by far the world’s top licenser of its character brands, with $30 billion in retail sales in fiscal 2008, compared with fourth-place Marvel at $5.7 billion, according to License! Global magazine.

"It gives Marvel the opportunity to expand internationally and leverage the Disney retail relationships as well as their licensee relationships," said Tony Lisanti, the magazine’s global editorial director.

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